March Madness 2017

NCAA Tournament Preview: The Daily Cardinal's Tournament Calculator

Image By: Kaitlyn Veto

The Daily Cardinal has created its own predictive rating system to project winners of any matchup in the NCAA Tournament. These ratings are based on offensive and defensive efficiency, or points per possession for and against. These numbers are adjusted for strength of schedule. The adjustment was made by correlating rating to how far the team went in the tournament, so as to best predict tournament performance.

The expected win probability is calculated by comparing two teams’ ratings using a formula created and perfected by Ken Pomeroy, the king of college basketball statistics. The score projection is based on comparing Team A’s offensive efficiency with Team B’s defensive efficiency (and the opposite) and then adjusting for expected possessions.

Check out the Daily Cardinal's full NCAA Tournament Preview package here

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